Frankfurt MathFinance Colloquium
Dr. Erik Schlögl
Sydney University of Technology
Spoken and Implied: Factor Distributions Implied by Quoted CDO Spreads and the Pricing of Bespoke Tranches
Abstract
The rapid pace of innovation in the market for credit risk has
given rise to a liquid market in synthetic collateralised debt
obligation (CDO) tranches on standardised portfolios. To the
extent that tranche spreads depend on default dependence between
different obligors in the reference portfolio, quoted spreads can
be seen as aggregating the market views on this dependence.
Already, practitioners are increasingly talking about implied
correlation "smiles" and "skews" in a manner reminiscent of
the volatility smiles found in liquid option markets. We explore
how this analogy can be taken a step further to extract implied
factor distributions from the market quotes for synthetic CDO
tranches.
Thursday September 22 2005 6:00 p.m., HfB Room TBA